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SI155: How to Create the Perfect Backtest ft. Richard Brennan

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Sinopsis

This week, Richard Brennan joins us to discuss whether there are any similarities between Trend Following and other investment approaches, the benefits of ‘forward-testing’ a system, the art of ‘hunting outliers’, what the optimum level of leverage could be, how much total portfolio ‘risk-to-stop’ to aim for, some thoughts on margin requirements, and which other strategy complements Trend Following the best. We also took a deep dive into backtesting, touching on topics such as: how much we can safely derive from a backtest, why a backtest with a smooth equity curve should raise alarm bells, a good checklist to use when creating a backtest, and whether some level of curve-fitting may actually be required for a good backtest. In this episode, we discuss: Which strategies would complement portfolio with 80% already allocated to Trend Following Why 'forward-testing' a system can be quite important before going live The art of finding and latching onto outlier performers Leverage, margin, & total portfoli