Volatility Views

Volatility Review: A look back at the week from a volatility perspective. VVIX - 97.73 CBOE Skew Index - 135 VIX Options, ADV - 852k, VIX Call/Put - 4 Total 10.8m (8.65m Calls, 2.19m Puts) Earnings: CMG, Twitter, Amazon, Google and Microsoft Volatility Voicemail: Options question of the week. It looks like you all REALLY want after-hours #Options trading. The question now - what is the best way to make it happen? 24% - Pilot For Earnings Season 52% - Top Names Only -$AMZN,etc 21% - Basic Limit Order Book 3% - Other - Reply/DM w/answer Listener questions and comments: Comment from j3dingle - Dear Mark Longo, Long time listener (at least a year or two, so maybe not that long!), first time emailer. I would guess I'm not the first to suggest this, but have you considered some excerpt of some rendition of "On Top of Spaghetti" for Mark Sebastian's theme song? Looks like the song even has some Chicago heritage: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/On_Top_of_Spaghetti In 30 seconds of you-tubing, I found Biondi's vers

Volatility Review: A look back at the week from a volatility perspective. Black Monday. Happy 30th Birthday to Volatility Skew! The numbers: VIX - 93.33 CBOE Skew Index - 146 VXN - 14.64 Russell's Weekly Rundown: VIX ADV - 876k VIX call/put - 4.1 VXX - 34.39 XIV - 105.87 Volatility Voicemail: Options question of the week Earnings Season is here! Which name do you plan to trade most actively this cycle? 27% - Tesla - $TSLA 34% - Amazon - $AMZN 23% - Apple - $AAPL 16% - Alphabet - $GOOGL Listener questions and comments: Comment form MoneyEngine X3.5 - Buying CVS calls. Crystal Ball: Wild and reckless prognostication Last week: Mark L. - 9.55 Mark S. - 10.25 Ghost of Russell - 28 Kevin - 10 This week: Mark L. - 9.65 Mark S. - 10.16 Russell - 9.87

Volatility Review: A look back at the week from a volatility perspective Secrets To The Hottest Trade - Shorting VIX The Numbers: VIX - Hit a low of 9.13 on Oct. 5 - still flirting with single digits. VVIX - 97.79, CBOE Skew Index - 146, VXN - 14.33 Kevin's Weekly Rundown VIX Options: ADV - 868k, VIX Call/Put: 3.8 Total 13.4m (10.6m Calls, 2.77m Puts) VXX - 35.97, XIV - 105.87, UVXY - 17.36 Volatility Voicemail: Options question of the week Earnings Season is almost upon us! What's your favorite way to trade earnings using #Options? Reply/DM/email with others. Sell Strad./Fly/Condor Buy Strad./Fly/Condor Sell Puts/Put Spreads Buy Calls/ Call Spreads Crystal Ball: Your VIX prognostication headquarters Last week: Mark L. - 9.65 Mark S. - 10.01 Russell - 10.31 This week: Mark L. - 9.55 Mark S. - 10.25 Kevin - 10.00

Volatility Review: A look back on the week from a volatility perspective. VIX Cash - A low of 9.13 on Oct. 5 VVIX - 91.79, CBOE Skew Index - 140 Russell's Weekly Rundown Fed Survey on Firm Uses of Equity Volatility, By Russell Rhoads, CFA VIX Options - VIX Call/Put: 3.7, Total 12.0m (9.44m Calls, 2.52m Puts) VXX - 37.95, XIV - 100.57 Volatility Voicemail: Options question of the week Break out your #VOLATILITY #CRYSTALBALL: $VIX is at new lows. Is an 8 $VIX looming or is this just a blip? Where will $VIX close Friday 10/6 Right Here: 9-9.30 Lower: < 9 Slightly Higher: 9.3-9.60 Much Higher: > 9.6 Listener questions and comments: What's on your mind? Question from Gunjan Banerji‏ - What were the hot $VIX strikes this past week? Question from PBiggers - What strategy will long vix while minimizing contango? Comment from FContangotrader - I took personal loan and i bought vxx put spreads long term while I'm long some gamma on $spy, speaking of crazy. Question from Lenz - When is the CBOE Asia conference? C

Volatility Review: A look back at the week from a volatility perspective 6% IV, all aboard! The numbers: VIX Cash - low of 9.55 on Thursday. VVIX - 94 CBOE Skew Index - 133 Russell's Weekly Rundown: VIX Options: ADV - 813k, 2.6M on Monday! VIX call/put, Total 11.4m (8.92m Calls, 2.48m Puts) OIV - 26.53 Volatility Voicemail: Listeners have their say Question from LL08 - Crazy! Is this true? Question from Tech Coleslaw - Can you talk a little bit more about ZIV and mid-term Vol? One of our listeners is running for Congress - @RogerBarone @OPTIONS More voices are better than less. Crystal Ball: Wild and reckless prognostication Last week: Mark L. - 9.75 Mark S. - 11 Russell - 10.10 This week: Mark L. - 9.2 Andrew - 9.99 Russell - 9.42

Volatility Review: A look back at the week from a volatility perspective The numbers: VIX Cash - A low of 9.54 on Thursday VVIX - 92 CBOE Skew Index - 137.87 ‘False Peace’ for Markets? A Trader Is Betting Millions on It Russell's Weekly Rundown: VIX Options - ADV: 813k, VIX call/put: 3.5 Total 9.96m OIV - 26.53 Volatility Voicemail: Listeners take over the show Volatility Views/TWIFO Flash Poll: With $SPX #Volatility -aka $VIX- in single digits where are you getting your index vol fix these days? Russell 2000: $RVX, $IWM Dow: $DJIA, $VXD, etc. NASDAQ: $QQQ, $VXN, etc. Buying $VIX for rebound. Listener questions and comments Question from Swatcat - Which instruments are there that are very liquid, if you are going long VIX? I have found one so far, ticker: VIXY / Nordic options trader Question from TicTac - You guys said it's not a good time for vix front spreads. Why not? Question from LA Town - Your call for worst Vol ETF? Crystal Ball: Your prognostication headquarters Last week: Mark L. - 11.5 Mar

Volatility Review: A full overview of CBOE RMC Europe. The numbers: VIX Cash - a high of 11.10 on Monday. VVIX - 92 CBOE Skew Index - 142.74 Russell's Weekly Rundown: VIX Options - ADV: 813k, VIX Call/Put 3.1; Total 13.7m (10.4m Calls, 3.28m Puts). OIV - 26.34 Volatility Voicemail: Listener Questions and Comments Options question of the week: First #Harvey, then #Irma, now #Jose & more. We prep houses/cars/family for #disasters. How do you prep your portfolio? Get Long $VIX/$VXX/$UVXY Go To Cash/T-bills Buy Index/Stock Puts "Risk Assets" - Gold, etc. Listener Questions: Question from Volbug: You mentioned on the show that our twins (XIV & SVXY) could go to zero if there is a big enough spike in vol. Would you and the crew be able to take a guess at what level of vol action would result in such a occurrence? Second question is, wouldn't such a spike send equities out the window also? As always, thanks for the show. Question from PBiggers - Time to go long VIX? Sell some EFX premium? Some skew in

Volatility Review: A look back at the week from a volatility perspective Shortened holiday week hit with a never-ending parade of hurricanes Don't forget North Korea Oh, and the President Bonds are screaming August options volume is strangely high. So much for vacationing for the month VIX up into the 12-handle. Will it hit the low teens? VIX Cash: High of 14.06 on Tuesday VVIX: 99 CBOE SKEW Index: 135.39 - 5 points higher than last week Russell's Weekly Rundown: Will people start using weekly options on Monday for the upcoming week's risk? CME Fed tool has next potential rate hike at next August, and only 50-50 Why are people buying vol into the weekend? VIX Options on this short week: ADV - 796K; Thurs. - 894K; Weds. - 603K; Tues.- 1.16M; Mon. - Closed. VIX Call/Put: 3.4 Hot VIX Strikes: 635482 .VIX Oct 18th 25.0 C, chg +4681 460502 .VIX Sep 20th 20.0 C, chg -6238 414217 .VIX Oct 18th 12.0 P, chg +13048 376664 .VIX Oct 18th 15.0 C, chg -70943 285530 .VIX Sep 20th 18.0 C, chg +3297 268153 .VIX Sep 20th

Volatility Review: A look back at the week from a volatility perspective. The numbers: VIX Cash - 10.59, VVIX - 94.86 CBOE Skew Index - 130.5 Russell's Weekly Rundown: VIX Options: ADV - 785k, VIX Call/Put - 3.3 Total 12.0m (9.24m Calls, 2.76m Puts) OIV - 28.29 OVX - 28.37 Volatility Voicemail: Options Question of the week: Let's get cheap! If you had to buy "lottery ticket" December calls for $.05 in one name - which would you choose? #HomeRun AMZN AAPL Tesla VIX Listener Questions and Comments: Question from JC - What am i missing? If VXX erodes why does anyone buy it? Question from Simyan - So I should just short VXX into the dust? Is that the deal? Question from Nils - So if the max length between splits is 3 years, and the minimum split price is $10 - aren’t the Jan 2019 20 puts for $2 a screaming deal? Question from TimTim - Do any other Vol products exhibit this erosion? Crystal Ball: Wild prognostication Last week: Mark L. - 11.75 Mark S. - 11.00 Russell - 10.80 This week: Mark L. - 10.15 M

  Volatility Review: A look back at the week from a volatility perspective. The numbers: VIX Cash - 12.33, a high of 14.45 on Monday. VVIX - 100 CBOE Skew Index - 130 Russell's Weekly Rundown VIX Options: ADV - 764k, VIX Call/Put - 3.4, Total 11.5m (8.88m Calls, 2.66m Puts) VXX reverse split trade Volatility Voicemail: Listener questions and comments Comment from JLC - That $VIX 60 guy is just nuts. He's just trying to make a name for himself with that prediction. $SPX wld need to drop over 10% to be right. Question from FContangotrader - What is your thought on $VIXH? Maybe every episode you can give an intro into various Vol ETN and ETF. Thanks and keep with good work Comment from FContangotrader - Mark Sebastian, so how do you hedge your gamma and your mother in law? Crystal Ball: Wild and reckless prognostication Last week Mark L. - 13.55 Mark S. - 12 Kevin - 18.25 Guest - 14.30 This week Mark L. - 11.75 Mark S. - 11.00 Russell - 10.80

Volatility Review: Featuring guest co-hosts Kevin Davitt from the CBOE Options Institute and Matt Amberson from ORATS. The market fear gauge could quintuple by Halloween, strategist warns The numbers: VIX Cash - a high of 15.77 this week, VVIX - 117.77 CBOE Skew Index - 142.73 Russell's (Kevin's) Weekly Rundown: VIX Options - ADV: 706k, VIX Call/Put: 3.6 Total 10.6m (8.26m Calls, 2.37m Puts) OIV - 27.77, OVX - 28.94 Volatility Voicemail/TWIFO Flash Poll: Which major index has experienced the largest % change in 30-day ATM #Volatility year-to-date? S&P 500 Nasdaq 100 Dow Russell 2000 Listener Questions and Comments: Question from Tosaw's client: I have an options question regarding VIX and I cannot seem to find the answer. Is there a way to determine the incremental change in an a SPY option price as the VIX moves? For example, if VIX moves 10% does that mean that the extrinsic value of the SPY option should be 10% more expensive? I checked the 30 day SPY option thinking that the IV of the option wo

Today we feature guest co-host Bill Valentine from Commodore Fund Volatility Review: A look back at the week from a volatility perspective The numbers: VIX Cash - 16.17 up over 40%, VVIX - 135.32 CBOE Skew Index - 136.48, VXN - 14.2 VIX Options ADV - 676k Russell's Weekly Rundown: Earnings Volatility: DIS, NVDA & SNAP Volatility Voicemail: Listener feedback Volatility Flash Poll: $VIX Hit 16.17 Thursday. Is this the end of low #Volatility? Or a temporary blip? Which level will $VIX hit first? Serious Vol - 20 Single Digits - 10 Heck with It- I'm In Cash Listener qusetions: Question from Jax - What does today’s VIX move mean for XIV? Will this blow them out? Crystal Ball: Wild prognostication Last week: Mark L. - 9.75 Mark S. - 10.75 Russell - 10.25 This week: Mark L. - 12.55 Andrew - 12.01 Russell - 13.50 Bill - 10.50

Volatility Review: A look back at the week from a volatility perspective VIX Cash & VVIX CBOE Skew Index Russell's Weekly Rundown: VIX Options ADV - 661k; Total 11.7m (9.28m Calls, 2.41m Puts) Earnings Volatilty: AAPL earning after the bell on Tuesday - TSLA earning Wednesday. Volatility Voicemail: Listener questions and comments Question from Market_Maker - If XIV runs out of money do investors lose there investment? Are they insured against this? Question from Richard D - Just wondering, as an Italian-American myself, why do so many Italian-Americans seem to end up in the options business? Crystal Ball: Our VIX predictions Last week: Mark L. - 9.75 Andrew - 10.25 This week: Mark L. - 9.75 Andrew - 10.75 Russell - 10.25

Volatility Review: A look back at the week from a volatility perspective The Numbers: VIX Cash back in double digit territory. VVIX - 86.87 CBOE Skew Index - 130 VIX Options - ADV: 653k, VIX Call/Put: 3.9/ 1; Total 10.4m (8.23m Calls, 2.13m Puts Traders 'Shocked' by VIX Bet That Could Pay $265M. Bond Trader's $10 Million Volatility Bet Is Paying Off Earnings Volatility: Monday: Alphabet opened down nearly 2%, Low of 963. Tuesday: Chipotle opened up approx. $6.50, then plummeted $15 Wednesday: Facebook opened up $8.87, traded up as high as $9.88. Thursday: Amazon ATM straddle approx. $49 Crystal Ball: What does the future hold for the VIX? Last week Mark L. - 10.25 Russell - 9.76 Mark S. - 10.04 This week Mark L. - 9.75 Andrew - 10.25

Volatility Review: A look back at the week from a volatility perspective. The Numbers: VIX Cash - 9.58, VVIX - 76 VXN - 14.36, CBOE Skew Index - 130 VIX Options - ADV: 671k, Total 7.32m (5.82m Calls, 1.49m Puts) Russell's Weekly Rundown: Volatility Flash Poll: Someone bought 235k $VIX Aug 30/35 Call Spreads for a whopping $.05. Theory time - Why would someone buy this spread? "Hedge" Short OTC Vol Bullish Volatility Spec Someone had $1.2M to burn "Hedge" Equity Portfolio Volatility Voicemail: Listener questions and comments Question from FContangotrader: When you buy put calendar in $VXX and took delivery of stock becomes synthetic call, great way to gain cheap delta while you short. Options question of the week: Earnings Season is back! $MSFT & $EBAY are up next. $MSFT ATM Straddle = 3.5%. $EBAY ATM Straddle = 7% Which trade would you make? 41% - Buy $MSFT Straddle 3.5% 28% - Buy $EBAY Straddle 7% 21% - Sell $MSFT Straddle 3.5% 10% - Sell $EBAY Straddle 7% More questions and comments: Question f

Volatility Review: A look back at the week from a volatility perspective. CML VIZ VIX Cash: 9.90, VVIX:  85.68 VIX Options: ADV - 671k, Total 10.3m (8.28m Calls, 2.06m Puts) VIX pop quiz Strong Volume for SPXW Options with Monday, Wednesday, Friday and Month-end Expirations. A Bond Trader's $10 Million Volatility Bet Is Paying Off Volatility Voicemail: Listener questions and comments Comment from Roger Barone: If they did so thru @IBKR their margin is $35,250,000. Anyone else ZERO! @IBKR SUCKS! @CBOE REFUSES to stop their MARGIN ABUSE! @SEC_News...Yes. They charge a MINIMUM OF $150 on ANY VIX SPREAD even if a long one like that. THEY TOTALLY SUCK! I told CBOE at Pinnacle but no action. Read this and this. Crystal Ball: Wild prognostication Last week: Mark L. - 10.60 Mark S. - 10.05 Russell - 11.99 This Week: Mark L. - 10.25 Andrew - 9.99 Ophir - 9.75

Volatility Review: A look back at the week from a volatility perspective. The VIX juice is loose OCC cleared futures volume in June reached 13,194,530 contracts, a 16% increase from June 2016. One of the most popular - and controversial - trades in the stock market (XIV) is showing no signs of slowing down. MRA attributes the spiking popularity to the participation of mom and pop investors. Russell's Weekly Rundown: VIX Options: ADV - 691k, Total 8.8M (7m calls, 1.8m puts) Apple, Facebook Among Techs Facing Huge Volatility Volatility Voicemail: Listeners take over Options question of the week:: Blue Apron $APRN is down over 10% from its #IPO price. Assuming #Options were listed, what trade would you make? Buy Dec 10 Call for $1 Buy Dec 9 Put for $1 Sell Dec 10 Call for $1 Not Touching $APRN Listener questions and comments Question from Avery Thompkins - Heard you guys debating theoretical low for XIV. I am down with 5. That makes sense. What about the other side? How high can it get? Is 1,000 in the co

Volatility Review: A look back at the week from a volatility perspective VIX Cash - 11.44, VVIX: 93.78 CBOE Skew Index - 129m, slightly calmer than last week. VIX Futures - Front month: 0.65 Second month: 1.25 Russell's Weekly Rundown: VIX Options: Mon - 630k, Tues - 724k, Weds - 510k, Thurs - 1.16M, ADV - 685K, Total 8.32m (6.68m Calls, 1.65m Puts) VIX Call/Put: 4.1 / 1 OIV - 29.35 OVX - 30.46 Volatility Voice Mail: Options Question of the week Let's get back to basics. #Options are great way to get long (bullish) exposure to stocks & futures. What is your favorite way to go long? 50% - Long Call/Call Spread 23% - Short Put/Put Spread 13% - Stock(Future) Replacement 14% - Bullish Risk Reversal Listener Questions: What's on your mind? Question from John Shippen -If I buy ATM premium, maybe an ATM iron condor, a few weeks before earnings then sell it the day before the announcement, is that a good play? Essentially free decay plus capture the rise in volatility along with any swings in the underlyin

Volatility Review: A look back at the week from a volatility perspective. VIX Cash - 10.15, VVIX - 84.21, slightly higher than last week. VIX is not a Fortune Teller CBOE Skew Index - 130.86, calmer than last week. VIX Futures - Front month: 1.5, Second month: 2.3 Russell's Weekly Rundown: VIX Options: Mon - 746k, Tues - 1.3M, Weds - 912k, Thurs - 347k VIX Call/Put: 4.1 / 1 Twenty-two Day C/P OI Moving Average: 3.32 Total 7.08m (5.69m Calls, 1.39m Puts) OIV - 31.5 OVX - 32.6 Volatility Voicemail: Questions. Comments. More. Options question of the week: Everyone is talking about #Bitcoin #Volatility these days. Where do you stand on #Bitcoin after last weeks aggressive downturn? Too Volatile, I am out I am still bullish I want #Bitcoin #Options I am sick of #Bitcoin Questions and comments Comment from Production One‏ - SPX and VIX are far more fun! Also far more profitable and secure! Bitcoin snobs got nothing over the Vol cognoscenti! Comment from PocketTissues - Goldman guy has the right idea. VIX sho

Volatility Review with special guest co-host Mike Thompson from Typhon Capital Management. Weird Nasdaq selloff that started during last show continues. Amazon looks to buy Whole Foods. VIX Cash - 10.90, VVIX - 89.95, slightly higher than last week. CBOE Skew Index - 134.12, nearly 10 points higher than 2 weeks ago. VIX Futures - Front month: .6, Second month: 1.5 Russell's Weekly Rundown VIX Options: Mon - 780k, Tues - 331k, Wed - 658k, Thurs - 396k, ADV - 713k, VIX Call/Put: 3.5/1; Total 10.1m (7.85m Calls, 2.26m Puts) VXX - ADV 364k, OI - 1.3/1 Calls over puts. OIV - 29.45 OVX - 31.90 Volatility Voicemail: Alternative volatility sources With $VIX giving up the ghost - which products are you hoping will provide new sources of #Volatility for your #options trading? 33% - Crude Oil (WTI, etc.) 20% - Metals ($GLD, $SLV, etc.) 20% - FX (GBP/USD, etc.) 27% - Indv. Equities-$TSLA, etc. VIX LIMBO: Last Month 40+% of you said $VIX wouldn't break 9 in 2017. But recent events have us asking again: How low will